4 p.m. Tropical Update on Hurricane Rafael and Disturbance Near Puerto Rico

At 4 p.m., Hurricane Rafael is moving west and producing high waves causing rip current warnings on Florida beaches. Current winds are at 105 mph. A second disturbance near Puerto Rico has a low chance of development but may increase moisture by Sunday. Drier air is expected to improve conditions by Friday.

At 4 p.m., a tropical update was released regarding Hurricane Rafael and another disturbance near Puerto Rico. Hurricane Rafael is moving away from the Florida coast but is producing high waves that have led the National Weather Service to issue a rip current statement for local beaches. Rip currents are significant hazards, often claiming more lives than other natural disasters in the region. Individuals should only swim in designated lifeguarded areas and swim parallel to the shore if caught in a rip current. Currently, Hurricane Rafael maintains maximum sustained winds of 105 mph and is progressing westward at a rate of 9 mph. The storm has re-established a well-defined eye and is projected to continue its course with minimal impacts on Florida. Although there is a potential for slight intensification in the next 24 hours, adverse atmospheric conditions are anticipated to cause the hurricane to weaken as it advances. In addition, a disturbance located near Puerto Rico has a mere 20% probability of development over the coming days. This system is also heading westward, with minimal concern for its impacts on Florida. It may, however, bring increased moisture to the area by late Sunday or into Veterans Day. As the weekend approaches, drier air is expected to infiltrate the region, resulting in lower humidity levels and clearer skies starting Friday, ushering in more sunshine as high pressure settles in behind Hurricane Rafael.

Hurricanes pose a significant threat to coastal areas, and their impact can extend beyond the immediate vicinity of a landfall. Hurricane Rafael, while currently moving away from Florida, still has the potential to create hazardous conditions such as rip currents. Understanding the nuances of tropical systems, including their tracks and intensification, is critical for local residents and visitors. Additionally, monitoring disturbances in the Atlantic is essential for preparedness, as even low-probability systems can influence weather patterns and present risks.

In conclusion, while Hurricane Rafael is generating dangerous rip currents along the Florida coast, it is expected to continue moving west without causing significant impacts. The potential development of a disturbance near Puerto Rico is being monitored, though it poses little immediate threat. The upcoming days will likely bring drier and sunnier conditions to the region, providing some relief from humidity as high pressure establishes itself. Residents should remain vigilant, especially regarding rip current safety.

Original Source: www.mysuncoast.com