Emerging Threat: Iran’s Potential Attack on Israel from Iraq

Israeli intelligence suggests that Iran is preparing to attack Israel from Iraq using drones and ballistic missiles, likely before the U.S. presidential election on November 5. This strategy might be aimed at leveraging pro-Iran militias to mitigate the risk of Israeli retaliation against Iranian targets.

According to an Axios report published on October 31, 2024, Israeli intelligence has determined that Iran may be planning an offensive against Israel utilizing Iraqi territory as a launch point. This potential attack could occur in the immediate days leading up to the United States presidential election on November 5, as per insights from unnamed Israeli sources. The anticipated assault is likely to involve the deployment of multiple drones and ballistic missiles, leveraging pro-Iran militias based in Iraq to avoid direct reprisals from Israel against Iranian strategic locations. This tactic may reflect Tehran’s desire to minimize exposure to Israeli countermeasures while still executing its military objectives.

Tensions between Israel and Iran have escalated significantly in recent years, leading to ongoing military confrontations and proxy conflicts across the region. Iran’s influence in Iraq through various militias has emerged as a critical concern for Israeli security strategists. The context of the upcoming U.S. presidential election also adds urgency to these developments, as Iran may view this period as an opportunity to act without the typical U.S. counterpressure that could be present after the election.

The situation highlights the precarious balance of power in the Middle East, with Iran potentially utilizing its influence in Iraq to stage an attack against Israel. This development emphasizes the ongoing threat posed by Iranian military capabilities and the complex geopolitical dynamics involving regional actors and superpowers.

Original Source: www.jpost.com