Tropical Depression Likely to Develop in Caribbean Sea, Minimal Threat to the US

The NHC has raised the chances for a tropical depression to form in the Caribbean, specifically from Invest 95L, with a 50% likelihood of development within 48 hours. However, this system is not predicted to affect the United States, though heavy rainfall is expected in Central America. Conversely, Invest 94L has minimal chances of further development at 10% due to unfavorable conditions.

The National Hurricane Center (NHC) has reported an increased likelihood for the development of a tropical depression in the Atlantic, specifically within the northwestern Caribbean Sea, identified as Invest 95L. This system, characterized by a broad area of low pressure, is producing widespread showers and thunderstorms across the region and is gradually becoming more organized north of eastern Honduras. The NHC has indicated that environmental conditions are favorable for further development over the next couple of days, predicting that a short-lived tropical depression or storm could form before the system makes landfall in Belize and the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico on Saturday. The probability of development of this system stands at 50% through the next 48 hours. Regardless of its potential development, significant rainfall is expected across Central America and southern Mexico this weekend. In contrast, the NHC is concurrently monitoring another system, termed Invest 94L, which consists of a poorly-defined trough of low pressure. This system generates disorganized showers and thunderstorms extending from the northern Leeward Islands into adjacent Atlantic waters. However, due to strong upper-level winds, further development of Invest 94L is unlikely, with the NHC assigning it only a 10% chance of formation over the next two days. This system is anticipated to pass close to or just north of the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico before approaching Hispaniola and the southeastern Bahamas.

The article discusses the current tropical weather systems being tracked by the National Hurricane Center (NHC) in the Atlantic region. The primary focus is on Invest 95L, a system in the northwestern Caribbean Sea that may develop into a tropical depression. The NHC’s forecasts highlight environmental conditions that could support further development of this system and its potential impact on land. Additionally, Invest 94L, a second system further east, is noted for its lack of development potential due to unfavorable upper-level winds. The timely and accurate assessment provided by the NHC is critical for residents in the potentially affected areas, especially regarding rainfall and storm preparation.

In summary, the National Hurricane Center has indicated that while there is a considerable chance for the formation of a tropical depression from the system in the northwestern Caribbean Sea (Invest 95L), it is not expected to impact the United States. Heavy rainfall is anticipated in Central America and southern Mexico from this system. Conversely, the second system, Invest 94L, is unlikely to develop further due to adverse atmospheric conditions. Stakeholders are advised to monitor the situation closely as forecasts evolve.

Original Source: www.usatoday.com