Gaza Conflict Compels China to Reassess Middle Eastern Policy

China’s historical Middle East policy emphasized economic gains with minimal political risks. However, the Gaza conflict compels a reassessment of its diplomatic strategy, indicating the need for China to adopt a more proactive role that supports regional autonomy, strengthens partnerships, and addresses Palestinian rights, amidst shifting power dynamics and U.S. influence in the region.

For nearly two decades, China’s policy in the Middle East has balanced economic advantages with minimal political involvement. However, the ongoing conflict in Gaza, along with shifting power dynamics in the region, compels Beijing to reassess its diplomatic approach. This is exemplified by Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi’s declaration at the United Nations, emphasizing that the Palestinian issue is central to Middle Eastern stability and security until resolved.

Historically, China maintained a hedging strategy, avoiding actions that would alienate any parties. This strategy allowed China to foster significant economic relationships, particularly through the Belt and Road Initiative, and engage in technological partnerships across the region. Nevertheless, recent developments necessitate a strategic shift away from this neutral position, as geopolitical tensions rise.

In recent years, China had transitioned from a passive to a proactive diplomatic stance characterized by a “zero-enemy policy,” seeking to enhance its political and security presence in the Middle East. This included establishing crucial partnerships and facilitating multilateral dialogues, as marked by its cooperation agreement with Iran and supporting negotiation platforms for Palestinian factions.

The ensuing alterations in the Middle East landscape following the Gaza conflict require that China recalibrate its diplomatic practices. Key shifts include Israel emerging as a military power with expansionist aspirations, a diminishing influence of Iran, unwavering U.S. support for Israel, and a critical setback for Palestinian statehood.

The U.S. stance, particularly under former President Donald Trump, further complicates the situation, reinforcing a narrative of a US-Israeli alliance within the region. Trump’s administration has signaled intentions to counteract China’s influence, particularly in its dealings with Iran and the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) states.

Despite assessments suggesting that U.S. and Chinese interests could align regarding stability in the Middle East, the reality often portrays a competitive dynamic where the U.S. views China’s growing influence as a threat. The expected revival of U.S. policies challenging Iran’s position and pressuring Gulf states towards Israel could adversely affect China’s strategic interests in the region.

To adapt to these evolving circumstances, China must cultivate a more engaged diplomatic approach that underscores its significance in regional energy and economic matters while supporting the autonomy of the Gulf states. Initiatives should focus on strengthening ties with Saudi Arabia, enhancing collaboration with the GCC and Iran, and advocating for Palestinian development and rights on the global stage.

This shift represents a pivotal reassessment of China’s longstanding non-interventionist approach, which has historically yielded significant advantages. As it endeavors to take on a more responsible role in Middle Eastern affairs, this redefined strategy is crucial not only for the region’s stability but also for the broader multipolar world order.

In conclusion, the ongoing Gaza conflict necessitates that China reassess its historical approach to Middle Eastern diplomacy. By shifting towards a more proactive and engaged strategy, China could strengthen its influence and safeguard its interests in a region increasingly defined by geopolitical rivalries. Through support for Gulf states, investment in Palestinian aspirations, and regional partnerships, China aims to redefine its role and contribute to a more balanced future in international relations.

Original Source: www.arabnews.com