Collapse of Gaza Ceasefire and U.S. Airstrikes in Yemen: Insights from a Middle East Expert

The collapse of the Gaza ceasefire stems from failed negotiations between Israel and Hamas, resulting in Israeli airstrikes and humanitarian blockades. Concurrently, U.S. military action against Houthi rebels in Yemen serves to project strength against Iran amid ongoing tensions regarding a nuclear deal. The overall situation reflects urgent geopolitical challenges in the Middle East.

In recent weeks, global attention has shifted towards the ceasing of hostilities in Ukraine, overshadowing the deteriorating ceasefire situation in Gaza— largely influenced by former President Donald Trump. Following a breakdown in negotiations with Hamas, Israel imposed a blockade on humanitarian aid and subsequently initiated aerial attacks on Gaza on March 17, resulting in over 400 fatalities.

The collapse of the ceasefire indicates that negotiations have reached an impasse, primarily due to Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s refusal to progress to a second phase of negotiations that would allow Hamas to remain in Gaza. The initial phase had been short-lived, officially concluding on March 1 after a limited exchange of hostages and detainees but failing to secure a long-term resolution.

Currently, there is no comprehensive strategy for Gaza from Israel. Netanyahu’s political imperatives demand the return of hostages rather than addressing a sustainable peace plan. Meanwhile, escalating tensions in the West Bank suggest that military operations could expand Israeli territories through increased settlements—a tactic that might constitute annexation despite ongoing conflicts in Gaza.

As the ceasefire has disintegrated, Trump’s previous self-proclaimed role as a “peacemaker” has shifted. His approach now appears focused on directing blame towards Hamas rather than seeking constructive dialogue. Concurrently, the United States has initiated military strikes against Houthi rebels in Yemen, sending a pointed message to Iran amidst negotiations regarding its nuclear ambitions, which had been rejected previously by Trump.

The recent airstrikes serve to solidify Trump’s tough image while attempting to leverage domestic public support. These actions are also interpreted as strategic moves to reinforce American backing for Israel, amid concerns over Iranian influence in the region. However, the Iranian leadership’s response has been notably muted, primarily due to internal crises including economic distress and reduced regional power.

Iran’s troubled economy and ongoing domestic unrest limit its responses to international aggression. While the U.S. has implemented a strategy to compel Iran towards negotiations regarding its nuclear arsenal, it remains unlikely that Tehran will engage while being threatened militarily. The difficulties encountered by Iran, entwined with their domestic issues, may not facilitate productive discussions under the pressure of U.S. forceful posturing.

The Gaza ceasefire has unraveled following Israeli airstrikes and deteriorating negotiations with Hamas, demonstrating a lack of long-term strategy from Israel, steered by political pressures. Concurrently, U.S. airstrikes in Yemen signify a strategic stance against Iranian influence but complicate the potential for constructive dialogue about Iran’s nuclear program. The current geopolitical climate suggests heightened tensions and limited pathways toward peace in both Gaza and Yemen.

Original Source: theconversation.com