The Urgent Need for US Support in Iraq’s Energy Independence

The revocation of Iraq’s sanctions waiver by the Trump administration has intensified the energy crisis in the nation, as it relies heavily on Iranian natural gas imports. Despite aiming for greater self-reliance, Iraq faces significant challenges, including outdated infrastructure and regional political instability. Effective solutions exist, but urgency is needed from the US to support Iraq’s energy initiatives and transition away from Iranian dependence.

The recent revocation of Iraq’s sanctions waiver by the Trump administration has exacerbated the nation’s energy crisis, as this waiver previously permitted Iraq to import natural gas from Iran, which contributed significantly to its electricity generation. With domestic electricity generation relying on about 10 gigawatts from Iranian supplies, this decision places Iraq in a precarious position as it faces unreliable energy resources this winter.

The administration’s move aligns with President Trump’s “maximum pressure” strategy aimed at pressuring Iran to negotiate regarding its nuclear program and to curtail its support for various paramilitary groups. Washington’s intent is to compel Baghdad to achieve greater energy independence, which has faced numerous challenges due to decades of conflict and inadequate infrastructure.

Iraq, an OPEC member and a country with the 12th largest natural gas reserves, struggles with its infrastructure to harness its resources for energy generation. Experts highlight that much of Iraq’s valuable gas is often flared rather than utilized, which signifies a missed opportunity for energy production. The impact of wars and sanctions has left Iraq’s energy sector in a challenging state, complicating its plans to upgrade its electric grid.

Despite these hurdles, Iraq aspires to generate 28 gigawatts of electricity by the summer, yet many experts view this goal as unrealistic. The increased pressure on Baghdad to seek alternatives while managing a grid that heavily depends on Iranian gas poses logistical challenges, given the current inadequacies in local supply capabilities.

The Iraqi government acknowledges the challenges stemming from the termination of Iranian gas supplies, which had been prone to disruption due to Tehran’s own energy difficulties. However, recent historical patterns imply that securing alternative energy solutions within such a short timeframe remains implausible, potentially leading to extended power shortages.

Washington’s approach extends beyond energy independence; it aims to resolve tensions between Baghdad and Kurdistan, promoting oil exports via Turkiye to mitigate Iranian influences. This adds further pressure on Prime Minister Mohammed Shia Al-Sudani to diminish Iran’s sway in Iraqi politics, a complex endeavor given Iraq’s sectarian dynamics.

US and Iranian interference are significant obstacles to Iraq’s energy progress, which is hindered by terrorism, corruption, and insufficient regional energy integration. Specific initiatives like the Jordan-Iraq electricity project, intended to interconnect grids and enhance supply stability, are still incomplete due to financial and political standoffs.

The completion of this project could alleviate Iraq’s dependency on Iran, benefiting the citizens by saving approximately $4 billion annually spent on private generators. However, political instability, rampant corruption, and chronic security issues continue to impede Iraq’s energy sector.

Despite possessing rich oil and natural gas resources, Iraq has largely neglected to embrace renewable energy alternatives, deriving less than 3 percent of its electricity from hydropower. This level is notably below the global average. Critics argue that it is hypocritical for Washington to pressure Iraq into achieving energy independence quickly, while failing to assist in rebuilding its energy infrastructure over the past two decades.

The US should take immediate action to support Iraq in its energy initiatives rather than undermining its ally. Effective alternatives exist, such as enhancing the Jordan electricity link and fostering regional cooperation with Gulf Cooperation Council nations. The Trump administration must reconsider its stance on the sanctions waiver and provide substantial assistance to help Iraq transition towards energy independence.

In conclusion, the revocation of Iraq’s sanctions waiver has intensified the country’s energy crisis, forcing it into a reliance on unreliable Iranian supplies. The US strategy seeks to compel Iraq to achieve energy independence, yet it does so without offering meaningful support or alternatives. Iraq’s challenges are deeply rooted in historical conflicts, existing political instability, and inadequate infrastructure. Moving forward, the US should enhance its commitment to assist Iraq in overcoming these hurdles and facilitate its transition to a self-sufficient energy future.

Original Source: www.arabnews.com