Heat Wave Update: Extreme Temperatures Impacting the IGAD Region in March 2025

The March 2025 seasonal forecast projects warmer-than-normal conditions across the IGAD region. Weekly forecasts from February indicated persistent temperature anomalies, with extreme temperatures particularly affecting South Sudan, Uganda, and Kenya. Data reveal temperatures exceeding 38°C, posing risks to human health, livestock, and socio-economic activities.

In March 2025, the Greater Horn of Africa Climate Outlook Forum (GHACOF 69) estimated an increased likelihood of warmer-than-normal conditions across the Intergovernmental Authority on Development (IGAD) region, according to ICPAC’s seasonal forecast for March to May. The forum stressed the importance of monitoring forecast updates, particularly on a sub-seasonal scale, as most climate hazards emerge during that period.

Weekly forecasts throughout February indicated an ongoing trend of higher-than-average temperature anomalies in the Greater Horn of Africa (GHA), creating conditions conducive to extreme temperature hazards. Observations from February revealed that numerous areas in South Sudan, Uganda, and northern and western Kenya experienced persistently high temperatures, adding to the region’s vulnerability.

Data from February 1 to 28 indicated that significant parts of South Sudan, southeastern Sudan, northern Kenya, and southern Somalia recorded average daily maximum temperatures exceeding 38°C. Some areas, particularly in South Sudan and Kenya, saw daily maximum temperatures reaching 40°C. These rising temperatures pose increasing risks to human health, livestock, and overall socio-economic activities in the region.

In summary, the IGAD region is currently facing significant challenges due to anticipated warmer-than-normal conditions, as highlighted by the March-May 2025 seasonal forecast. Continuous monitoring of temperature anomalies is vital, given the observed extreme temperatures in South Sudan and surrounding areas. It is crucial to address the risks posed to human well-being and economic stability, as temperatures continue to rise.

Original Source: reliefweb.int