Extreme Heat Wave Update in the IGAD Region: South Sudan March 2025

The March-May 2025 forecast by ICPAC indicates warmer-than-normal conditions across the IGAD region, with persistent extreme temperature anomalies observed in South Sudan and surrounding areas. The region has experienced temperatures exceeding 38°C, raising concerns about negative impacts on health, livestock, and socio-economic activities.

In March 2025, the 69th Greater Horn of Africa Climate Outlook Forum (GHACOF 69) presented a seasonal forecast by ICPAC. It highlighted an increased probability of warmer-than-normal conditions throughout the IGAD region. The report underscored the necessity for ongoing updates on weather forecasts, particularly on a sub-seasonal level, where most climate-related hazards tend to arise.

Weekly forecasts in February confirmed the continuation of warmer-than-average temperature anomalies in the Greater Horn of Africa. This ongoing heat has heightened the likelihood of extreme temperature hazards in the region. Notably, observed temperatures in February revealed that areas in South Sudan, Uganda, and parts of northern and western Kenya faced significantly elevated temperatures.

Analysis of average daily maximum temperatures from February 1 to 28 indicated that large regions in South Sudan, southeastern Sudan, northern Kenya, and southern Somalia experienced temperatures surpassing 38°C. Some areas registered maximum daily temperatures reaching 40°C, particularly in South Sudan and Kenya. Concerns are rising regarding potential adverse impacts on human health, livestock, and socio-economic activities due to these extreme temperature conditions.

In summary, the GHACOF 69 forecast indicates that the IGAD region is experiencing persistent extreme temperatures, with South Sudan among the most affected areas. The emphasis on continuous monitoring of climate forecasts is crucial. The observed temperatures throughout February have raised alarms concerning human welfare and economic stability, necessitating attention and proactive measures to address these climate-related challenges.

Original Source: reliefweb.int