Israeli Concerns on PKK Cease-Fire Impacting Regional Dynamics

Israeli media claims that the PKK’s cease-fire could harm Israel’s interests by altering Syria’s power dynamics and challenging its presence. Analysts express concerns over the YPG losing U.S. support, which may lead to Türkiye’s withdrawal from northern Syria. Furthermore, calls for U.S.-Syria cooperation against Daesh highlight shifts in regional politics and the importance of local governance.

Israeli media outlets are voicing concerns regarding the potential implications of the PKK terrorist organization laying down arms. Reports indicate that this development could lead to shifts in regional dynamics that may ultimately disadvantage Israel. Analysis published in Haaretz suggests that a cease-fire could disrupt the existing power balance in Syria, thereby challenging Israel’s strategic presence, especially in light of historically coordinated airspace operations with Russia during the Baath regime.

The Haaretz article further posits that the Syrian wing of the PKK, known as the YPG, risks losing U.S. support, which may compel it to heed the directives of the Syrian government. Such a scenario could prompt Türkiye to withdraw from its designated safe zones in northern Syria, thereby complicating Israel’s international standing as it would be perceived as an “occupying power in southern Syria.”

Channel 14 has echoed similar sentiments, indicating that recent developments could signal the onset of a new era in the region, while Yedioth Ahronoth suggests that any potential YPG-Damascus agreement would have a significant impact on Türkiye’s actions. The Jerusalem Post has also commented on this possibility, noting a shift in American policy towards Syria could necessitate the YPG aligning more closely with the Assad administration.

The discussions among Israeli media follow the PKK’s declaration of a cease-fire with Türkiye, prompted by a request for disbandment from the imprisoned leader, Abdullah Öcalan. His appeal was transmitted through the Peoples’ Equality and Democracy Party, urging the PKK to dissolve its militant activities after decades of conflict, potentially affecting Türkiye’s relations with its neighbors.

In a related note, Robert Ford, a former U.S. ambassador to Syria, articulated in Foreign Affairs magazine that an effective means for Washington to support Syria would involve withdrawing its forces and cooperating with the Assad government against Daesh. Ford’s article highlighted the potential benefits of establishing a partnership with a stronger local authority instead of relying on the YPG, which he believes would foster greater local support.

Ford recommended that the Trump administration engage in diplomatic conversations with Damascus to address military positioning and intelligence sharing in the fight against Daesh. He expressed that the U.S. should encourage the YPG to integrate into the structures of the emerging Syrian state. He concluded by emphasizing that genuine democracy in Syria must be shaped by its citizens rather than relying on external military presence.

The evolving situation regarding the PKK’s cease-fire and its potential disbandment may significantly impact regional dynamics, particularly Israel’s strategic interests in Syria. As the YPG may adjust to changing political alignments, the implications for American foreign policy and Türkiye’s relations remain complex. The insights from Israeli media and former officials underscore the importance of local governance and the need for nuanced international approaches to support stability in the region.

Original Source: www.dailysabah.com