Jordan’s Critical Role in Countering Israeli Expansionism in Southern Syria

Jordan must consider a proactive role in southern Syria amidst Israeli expansionism. King Abdullah condemned Israeli strikes and supported Syrian sovereignty while discussions on pivotal issues were scarce. The visit from Syrian President Sharaa coincided with rising Israeli concerns over HTS. Jordan’s relations with local communities present opportunities to defend territorial integrity and counter Israeli influence, highlighting the urgency for action and collaboration in the region.

Recent media coverage from Jordan regarding Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa’s visit to Amman was notably limited. In a follow-up statement, King Abdullah condemned Israeli air strikes in Syria and reaffirmed his support for Syrian territorial integrity, advocating for the voluntary return of Syrian refugees. Key discussions surrounding southern Syria, however, were not emphasized, notably Israel’s occupation of the region, the complex military and political dynamics, and relations with the Druze community.

The impetus for Sharaa’s visit likely stemmed from Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s comments regarding Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) and its influence in southern Syria. Various Israeli officials have pledged to protect the Druze communities and even Alawites along the coast. This raises concerns about Israel’s intentions for Syria’s future, as such developments could lead to the formation of sectarian statelets in line with the preferences of the Israeli right.

Before Sharaa’s visit, Jordanian Crown Prince Hussein bin Abdullah met with Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, suggesting Turkish encouragement for Sharaa to discuss southern Syria and coordinate on issues related to the Druze and Israel’s regional aspirations. Important discussions regarding southern Syria have also taken place between Jordanian and Turkish officials following the fall of the Assad regime, highlighting regional strategic interests.

Jordan faces a critical decision on whether to assert a more proactive role in southern Syria, potentially at HTS’s request. This could involve engagement with the Druze and ensuring stability in Daraa, or establishing a military presence along the Syria-Israel border. Such action could counter Israel’s claims of insecurity regarding HTS and mitigate fears of escalating tensions similar to those seen in Gaza.

Historically, Jordan has refrained from military interventions in Syria, but the current geopolitical landscape presents a unique set of challenges. If HTS were to request Jordanian assistance, such involvement may align with safeguarding Jordan’s strategic interests and national security, such as ensuring the stability of the Syrian government and facilitating the return of refugees while ultimately pushing for an Israeli withdrawal.

Jordan maintains cordial relations with communities in southern Syria, especially the Druze and local Arab tribes, creating an opportunity for collaborative efforts with Damascus to thwart Israel’s ambitions. While Jordan traditionally avoids conflicts outside its borders, potential engagement in Syria could be justified if it secures agreement with Damascus and is supported by Turkey and other regional allies.

Timing is of the essence. Should King Abdullah and Sharaa have overlooked discussions on Jordan’s potential role in southern Syria during their recent meeting, expediting such negotiations, even indirectly through Turkey, becomes imperative. A proactive Jordanian response is necessary to counter the political narratives surrounding HTS propagated by the Israeli right, which paints a dire picture of minority threats in Syria. Inaction could lead to severe implications not only for Syria but also for Jordan’s national security.

Jordan’s response to Israel’s expansionist actions in southern Syria is crucial for maintaining regional stability and its national security. Enhancing cooperation with Syrian authorities and engaging the local communities could form part of a strategic approach to counter Israeli narratives and ensure Syria’s territorial integrity. As geopolitical dynamics shift, Jordan must act decisively to protect its interests and foster a stable environment in southern Syria.

Original Source: www.middleeasteye.net