Prospects for Lebanon and Syria Normalizing Relations with Israel

U.S. envoy Steve Witkoff claims Lebanon and Syria could normalize relations with Israel amid shifting political dynamics. This follows a decline in Iranian influence in the region. However, Lebanon’s refusal to recognize Israel complicates potential diplomatic ties. Meanwhile, Saudi Arabia’s normalization remains contingent on Palestinian statehood, emphasizing the complexity of Middle Eastern politics amidst ongoing conflict.

During an event arranged by the American Jewish Committee, Steve Witkoff, the U.S. envoy to the Middle East, stated that Lebanon and Syria could soon establish normalized relations with Israel. He suggested that significant political changes in these countries might be influenced by shifting power dynamics, particularly the decline of Iranian-affiliated groups such as Hezbollah and the recent developments in Syria.

Witkoff remarked, “In terms of the Iranian crescent, it has been basically decimated… Lebanon, by the way, could actually mobilize and come into the Abraham Peace Accords, as could potentially Syria.” These sentiments echo a prior statement by Israeli Foreign Minister Israel Katz, who indicated that Lebanon might follow suit if Saudi Arabia took the lead.

Currently, Lebanon does not recognize Israel, and it is illegal for Lebanese citizens to visit the country. Furthermore, entry into Lebanon is denied to individuals possessing Israeli passports or stamps. Political analyst Yasser Zaatreh criticized Witkoff’s remarks, characterizing them as a “tragedy” in light of Israel’s recent military actions in both Lebanon and Syria.

Both nations have faced severe repercussions from Israel’s military operations over the last year and a half, resulting in tensions and civilian suffering. Following increasing conflicts with Hezbollah, Israel invaded southern Lebanon in October 2024 after an escalation into a broader war killed thousands. Israel has maintained a military presence along the Lebanese border and continues airstrikes in Syria, targeting alleged Hezbollah and Iranian assets.

The interim Syrian government has expressed its desire for Israel to cease hostilities and withdraw from Syrian territory but acknowledges its current inability to respond militarily. Wael Abou Faour, a member of the Lebanese parliament, stated that Lebanon would likely pursue only a truce with Israel similar to past agreements signed after the Arab-Israeli conflicts.

Despite the challenges, Witkoff expressed optimism regarding the potential for Saudi Arabia to formalize relations with Israel, following the precedent set by other Arab nations. However, Riyadh has maintained that it would only consider normalization after the establishment of a Palestinian state, a position strengthened by Israel’s ongoing military actions that have resulted in significant Palestinian casualties.

Lastly, President Trump has faced widespread criticism for his comments suggesting a radical overhaul of Gaza’s governance, which includes proposals for the displacement of its Palestinian population. This rhetoric further complicates the already fraught situation in the region and highlights the tensions surrounding diplomatic relations in the Middle East.

In summary, U.S. envoy Steve Witkoff asserts that Lebanon and Syria may normalize relations with Israel due to changing political landscapes, including the decline of Iranian influence. However, Lebanon’s historical stance against Israel complicates matters. Recent military actions have exacerbated tensions, while Saudi Arabia remains hesitant to follow through on normalization without significant concessions for Palestinians. The situation remains volatile, with ongoing conflicts shaping the future of regional diplomacy.

Original Source: www.newarab.com